$35.8 Billion Is Riding on Vehicles That Stopped Taking Orders
Two hundred nineteen of the 709 task orders on our expiring board sit under a parent IDIQ that already closed to new orders, the median one more than a year ago. The follow-on cannot come back on the same vehicle, and one Air Force office has already published where its work goes instead, with dates.
If your account plan says the incumbent gets extended in place, check the vehicle underneath the order before you check the order.
We pulled the parent IDV behind every row on our expiring board this morning, 709 of the 1,211 rows are task or delivery orders rather than standalone contracts, and looked up the ordering period on all 481 distinct parents. On 219 of those orders, worth $35.8 billion obligated, the vehicle has already closed to new orders (chart below).
Median time since that vehicle closed: 366 days.
The Field Nobody Filters On
Another 106 orders, another $16.7 billion, ride a vehicle that closes before the order itself does. Add them and 46% of the order book on the two-year board is sitting on a vehicle that will be shut to new work by the time the recompete decision gets made.
The remaining 384 orders are the comfortable ones. Their vehicle outlives them, so the government can simply place the next order on the same IDIQ, and you will never see a public solicitation for it.
We take the parent's period of performance in USAspending as its ordering period, which is what that field is for an IDV. The check on it: every GS00Q14OADS parent comes back 2024-12-19 and every GS00Q14OADU parent comes back 2025-03-01, exactly the OASIS Small Business and OASIS Unrestricted ordering period end dates GSA publishes.
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